Comments on: Open Letter to the Taliban https://www.brownpundits.com/2018/02/28/open-letter-to-the-taliban/ A discussion of all things Brown.. Wed, 15 Apr 2026 10:14:27 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.4 By: AnAn https://www.brownpundits.com/2018/02/28/open-letter-to-the-taliban/#comment-9251 Fri, 27 Apr 2018 23:09:11 +0000 http://www.brownpundits.com/?p=3876#comment-9251 In reply to Vijayaraghavan.

Vijayaraghavan, the Quetta Shura Taliban have seen this letter and are responding to it. Two open secrets about the Afghan members of the Quetta Shura Taliban that don’t agree with a caliphate that rules the world:
–they are almost completely dependent on Deep State GHQ
–they “HATE” Deep State GHQ and are trying to break free.

My sense is that they want to negotiate with GIRoA but are afraid of getting assassinated by Deep State or global Jihadis. Their families are tracked by ISI.

Are you interested in more articles on Afghanistan, Afghan institutions, ANSF and Afghan people?

]]> By: Vijayaraghavan https://www.brownpundits.com/2018/02/28/open-letter-to-the-taliban/#comment-9250 Fri, 27 Apr 2018 22:59:56 +0000 http://www.brownpundits.com/?p=3876#comment-9250 I hope for expeditious delivery of the letter, the address on the envelope is

Taliban
C/O ISI
Army HQ
Islamabad
Pakistan

]]> By: AnAn https://www.brownpundits.com/2018/02/28/open-letter-to-the-taliban/#comment-4948 Sat, 03 Mar 2018 04:53:53 +0000 http://www.brownpundits.com/?p=3876#comment-4948 This time is different:
-Afghanistan is different
–ANSF are more capable
–GIRoA civilian governance and civil society is more mature and deeper; better educated
-Pakistan is different (more open to peace)
-Gulf is different (more supportive of peace)
-China is different (pressuring Pakistan and the Taliban to make peace and providing more support to ANSF and GIRoA)
-International community is mini surging ANSF capacity and ANSF enablers
-Increased pro GIRoA leverage
-QST (Quetta Shura Taliban) local Taliban is more anti Pakistan than ever and fearful of Daesh, Peshawar Shura, LeT, JeM, AQ, LeJ/Sipah e Sahaba/Jundullah (many of these may have switched to Daesh), IJU/IMU (many of these might have switched to Daesh), TTP/TNSM (many of these might have switched to Daesh)
-QST local Taliban is tired of war and more eager to make peace.

I think this time could work, as long as expectations are realistic. A majority of the approximately 36,000 ANSF killed in action (KIA) over the past 4 years are not killed by local QST Taliban. These Jihadis (who have much less popular support inside Afghanistan than QST) will likely keep fighting. So peace does not end the war but flips a major player from anti GIRoA to pro GIRoA. Similar to Hekmatyur flipping to support GIRoA; but 5 X bigger. This is still a very big deal. It will likely greatly reduce violence in many districts across Afghanistan and allow the ANSF to redeploy with greater density in Jihadi heavy areas.

The ANSF aren’t the same ANSF they use to be. One evidence of this is that the large majority of Afghan civilians killed/wounded by air strikes are committed by AAF versus international aerial forces. The AAF could be a lot larger and more capable in a few years; assuming India/China/Russia help with Mi17/Mi35; which might still happen.

I am hopeful that India/China/Russia donate large numbers of D-30s and train thousands of ANA crew members. If this happens the QST will have no choice but to respect the ANA.

]]> By: anan https://www.brownpundits.com/2018/02/28/open-letter-to-the-taliban/#comment-4946 Sat, 03 Mar 2018 03:05:36 +0000 http://www.brownpundits.com/?p=3876#comment-4946 https://youtu.be/LxFkFaMdURA

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