Question of they Day; what would India have done to Pakistan IF Pak was not a nuclear power?
— Xerxes the Magi (@ZacharyLatif) March 5, 2019
I don’t know the answer to this but it’s interesting to speculate.
(1.) How much stronger is India’s conventional army to Pakistan’s; specifically the airforce?
(2.) If Pakistan didn’t have recourse to nuclear warfare; what would it do in the case of a conventional army attack by India?
(3.) Would China/another power interfere; “could” they interfere?
(4.) In the last thirty years India-Pakistan have gone from a 20% per capita advantage in Pak’s favour to a 20% per capita advantage in India’s favour. What is the comparable geopolitical relationship between the two countries; is it Taiwan-China or Japan-China. What’s the closest analogue?
(5.) Is Pak’s High Command motivated to adopt unconventional warfare in the knowledge that any escalation would be nuclear-tipped.
(6.) Does the precedent of Pakistan (and maybe N. Korea/Israel) have nuclear weapons incentivise other nations (Iran, Saudi) to reach “nuclear status” to make sure that it is similarly immune to any sort of attack.
For once I’m not venturing opinions but asking for informed commentary.