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The Indian Subcontinent Argues with Itself

Browncast Episode 95: Stanford serological study incorrectly underestimates infection fatality rate

BrownCast · with Razib Khan22 April 20201 min read2 comments

Another BP Podcast is up. You can listen on Libsyn, Apple, Spotify,  and Stitcher (and a variety of other platforms). Probably the easiest way to keep up the podcast since we don’t have a regular schedule is to subscribe to one of the links above!

You can also support the podcast as a patron. The primary benefit now is that you get the podcasts considerably earlier than everyone else. This website isn’t about shaking the cup, but I have noticed that the number of patrons plateaued a long time ago.

I would though appreciate more positive reviews! Alton Brown’s “Browncast” has 30 reviews on Stitcher alone! Help make us the biggest browncast! At least at some point

This episode is a discussion with a person who was a participant in the Stanford serological study. Basically he talks about the selection bias in the study sample, and the wrong inferences we can make from that.

PodcastBrownCastThe Brown Pundits podcast. This episode is with Razib Khan.

The argument continues

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Sumit
Sumit
6 years ago

New York did a study on 3000 randomly selected people at grocery stores. 13% had antibodies

Approx. 0.6% CFR, perhaps a bit higher assuming some of the people will develop symptoms and pass away at a later date.

In line with Iceland data ( which has tested approx 10% of total population)

0.5% – 1% CFR seems likely. 0.2% seems way too low.

Old people highly disproportionately impacted, it’s very low risk to younger people. I think there is some propaganda overstating impact on young people to get them to behave.

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