Brown Pundits

The demographics of Kerala is as per this 2012 citation (may not be authoritative)

Religion	Population	Percentage	District (Highest Population	District (Lowest Population)	Decadal Population Growth
Hindu	1,78,83,449	56.2	T’puram	Wayanad	– 1.48
Muslim	78,63,342	24.7	Malappuram	Pathanamthitta	+ 1.70
Christian	60,57,427	19.0	Ernakulam	Malappuram	– 0.32

Anyhow the actual numbers do not matter (as usual) it is the perception that counts. There are Christians who fear (or claim that fellow Christians feel this) that they will be swamped by Muslim population growth.

Accordingly, the St Vincent De Paul Forane Church in Kalpetta has presented an innovative plan to reverse population decline: pay every Catholic family 10,000/- for the fifth child.

This being Kerala the fight the extinction plan has a number of detractors within the flock as well as without. The comments were the least to say interesting (my response in bold). The most interesting comment IMO was from a Muslim who supported the initiative wholeheartedly.

(1)“The incentives are not going to help increase the population”:T M Thomas Issac ( Former Finance Minister of Kerala & CPIM central committee member)

– as he is in a party of non-believers so this may have biased him against the initiative. 

That said I actually agree that the incentive is too low and for too many kids (1 Lakh per child for 3 kids may be fine, the church can certainly afford it, also the incentive amount can be connected to family assets as well).

(2)  “Christian extremism is more intense than Muslim extremism”: Sister Jessmy (Former Principal of St Mary’s College)– 

I am quite orthodox in thinking when it comes to the number of
children in a family. I was born in a family of seven children. The more
the number of children the more the training you get. Not just from
your parents but also from your sisters and brothers. The argument for
reducing the number of children is that they can be given better care
and education. However, if you consider the money spent on counseling
the children of families having single or two children, we may conclude
it’s much better to have more children.


 
If there are more children, when they grow up and start working, it
would be economically beneficial for the entire family. But there is no
holy intention behind the church’s five children programme. Their only
aim is to increase the vote banks. They want to increase their
representation in the administrative system. This is an attempt to
reduce the Muslim influence too.


 
In Kerala Christian extremism is more intense than Muslim extremism.
Muslim extremism is visible from outside. The extremism and fanaticism
hidden inside Christians are more dangerous. Who were the worst? Those
who chopped off the hands of T T Joseph or those who kicked him out of
his job.

 – Here is a true believer who actually endorses the policy but raises important questions about intent. As an aside I agree with her that the Church was simply in the wrong to kick out Joseph (also when it claimed that it will use its muscle to ensure that the (Christian) fishermen killing Italians will go home free).

(3) “Increasing the population by paying money is anti religious”: Stephen Aalathara (KCBC spokesperson) 

– This is not the first time that the Church has encouraged families to have more children but they do not want to incentivize this. Why? It makes no sense??

(4) “This is anti- democratic unified civil code needs to be implemented”: U Kalanadhan (State president, Yukthivaadi Sankhadana) ( Atheist Association)

Article XXX of the Indian Constitution confers certain rights to minorities. This is against the XIVth
article of the Indian Constitution that states that all individuals are
equally before law. The article gives right to the minorities to the
act against the constitution. For example take the case of marriage
among the Muslim population. According to Muslims there is nothing wrong
in having four wives. If you have five wives the child born out of the
fifth wife will have no right on their ancestral property. This has lead
to an increase in the Muslim population to a great extend.


 
The Christians are trying to compete with them by giving incentives
to have more children. The funding comes from abroad. Christians
recognize only monogamy and hence they have come up with this solution.


 
The only solution to this increasing competition among religious
groups is implementation of the universal civil code mentioned in the 44th schedule. But the politicians are not willing to implement this law as they are afraid of losing their vote banks.

 – Par for the course for spokesman of an atheist organization (in his manner of speech he can substitute for a member of any Hindutva group).

(5) “While farmers were committing suicide they were busy spending crores for constructing churches”: Lean Thobias (Creative Director, Panorama)

While I was working in Malayala Manorama, I had been to Wayanad to study farmer’s suicide over there. While talking to one family we realized that there were a few factors
besides agricultural problems that had caused these suicides. He like
many other farmers had to pay huge amounts to the church. His son was
studying in a private management school.   All these problems coupled
together led to the suicide of that person in that particular family.
While the suicides were being committed huge churches were being
constructed in that area.


I am a catholic believer and am quite active member of the church. I
informed the church about the distress faced by the farmers over there
no one was bothered…..

The present offer put forth by the church is 10,000 for that the 5th
child.  Can you imagine the problems the family will face once the
child grows up? I think this offer is made for increasing the fee in
Jubilee Medical College and the Christian vote banks. Poor men are
getting nothing out of any Christian institutions.

– This is a new angle on farmer suicides. While it is possible that anger is clouding his thinking, he raises some uncomfortable points (for all of us). The hopelessness will perhaps be felt more in high HDI societies like Kerala and that may be a causative factor behind the high suicide rate.

(6) “No need to be afraid of an increase in population”: T Ariff Ali (Jammat- e- Islami Al Hind, Kerala President)

This is a very basic issue. Manpower can be seen in two ways;
Intellectual and physical. The people from Assam, Bihar, Bengal and the
like are pouring into Kerala. But here we don’t have anyone.  We are
exporting manpower to foreign countries.


 
All groups are afraid of the decrease in population. In the beginning
Christian society was afraid of increase in the population. Now they
are trying to correct it. There is no need to see any sort of
communalism in it. These reactions should never be considered communal.
According to Jamaat -e -Islami there is no need to be afraid of
increasing population.

– !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

(7) “The aim is not to increase population but to encourage life”: Salu Mecherill ( St Vincent De Paul Forane Church Project Director)

The aim of the project is not to increase population but to encourage
life. There has been a drastic decline in youth population.  We intend
to rectify this problem. The aim of the project is to preserve life
until death.


 
The project couldn’t include other communities as the church can
conduct this project at present only in a small scale. We are part of
KCBC’s providence committee. We didn’t consult KCBC about this project.


 
These days women are reluctant to give birth to children. Many
couples are reluctant to have kids at all. In Kalpetta the rate of
farmers committing suicide are much less. The rate of increase of
population is much less than even the developed nations.


 
According to the central government, by 2030 Kerala would be a large
old age home. Hence it is necessary to have able youth that can work. So
let other states do whatever they want.


 
There is nothing to be scared of. This is not meant for conducting
war or anything. Many countries in the world are carrying on with such a
project. It is not true that job opportunities are not increasing
according to the population.

– spoken like a true believer, refutes point #5 on farmer suicides, raises an important point of Kerala becoming an increasingly grey society, so some action must be taken. 

This is fine however IMO any incentives should ideally come from the govt and help out the most distressed communities.

regards

No doubting the common bonds of religion, culture and most everything, however the goals are not aligned (the goal-posts have shifted) and even the playing fields have changed, all of this is causing unnecessary pain and heartburn amidst the brotherhood.

It is not even that one person’s terrorist is another person’s freedom fighter, it is one brother (freedom fighter) is denouncing the other brother’s actions as “anti-islam”. But why? HM is involved in a nationalist struggle (against Hindu dominated India) while TTP is engaged in a trans-nationalist struggle (against the secular state and for establishing Sharia). These objectives are at cross purposes only if an independent Kashmir plans to govern in secular prose and forswearing Sharia poetry. Someone (perhaps Arundhati Roy) should ask HM to clarify this point. It will be nice of her to remove all confusion, re-unite the brothers and get rid of the pain.

Upset by media reports linking a ‘militant commander’ from a tribal
area with it, the largest fighter group in India-held Kashmir, Hizbul
Mujahideen (HM), on Tuesday deplored what it termed an attempt to
tarnish its image. “Attempts to affiliate someone claiming responsibility for bomb
blasts in Pakistan with Hizbul Mujahideen to dent its credibility are
upsetting and painful,” said the group in a brief statement issued here,
in a reference to Major Mast Gul, alias Haroon Khan.

An earlier statement of the group mentioned Mr Gul by name, while
recalling that he had quit Hizbul Mujahideen before 2001. However, in a
revised statement, his name was taken off. A section of the media had introduced Mr Gul as a Hizbul Mujahideen commander after he resurfaced in Miramshah early this month.

The Kashmiri fighter group made it clear that it deemed any militant
activity within Pakistan “nefarious and against the tenets of Islam”. 

“Hizbul Mujahideen is an indigenous freedom fighter group of
India-held Jammu and Kashmir and it is also a historical fact that the
Kashmiris hold Pakistan dearer than their lives,” it said….It paid tribute to the leadership and public of Pakistan for their
deep concern and moral, diplomatic and political support for the cause
of struggling Kashmiris. “Kashmiri people and fighters are also
prayerful for the safety of the people of Pakistan and stability of
their country.”

regards

It is indeed a sign of the times. Ahmedabad (ruled by a single man of the backward caste, tea-selling, hindu volunteer variety) has been voted superior as compared to Chennai (ruled by a single woman, of the aristocratic, convent educated, super-caste variety) in that most hazardous travel category- (single) women.

The maximum city only rates a poor #4. Also Pune > Bangalore.

Taking everything else into account (especially weather) I would vote for Pune as the best place to live in India right now, but my heart belongs to cosmopolitan Mumbai.

This is also an opportunity to wish everybody the best (also in advance) for Women’s day. Without women the world is all a bit of nothingness.

“Ahmedabad
garnered 86 % votes and was followed by Pune at 84 % and Bangalore at
81 %. Mumbai, which was number one in 2013, received only 72% votes,”
stated the survey released ahead of Women’s Day by TripAdvisor. 
regards

China may be the next best imperial beast but it should be prepared to get bloody noses everywhere (not that it particularly cares) within the hard as well as soft boundaries.

Africa’s fourth-largest lake could drop by 20 metres, causing an ecological and human disaster to rival the shrinking of the Aral Sea in central Asia, if Ethiopia goes ahead with massive irrigation projects linked to a giant dam, according to a university paper….Lake
Turkana, located almost entirely in Kenya but fed by the river Omo,
which rises in Ethiopia, will be severely impacted by the 243 metre-high
Gibe III dam, which is due to be completed this year, says the study,
published by the University of Oxford’s African Studies Centre. It suggests water levels could drop by half, devastating the lake’s fisheries and affecting the livelihoods of 170,000 agro-pastoralists.

…. protests outside the Chinese embassy in Nairobi, with campaigners calling on
Beijing to halt funding for the scheme. Angelei says the Nairobi
government is divided on the issue, but that at least protests are legal
in Kenya, unlike in Ethiopia, and she urges donors to heed Human Rights Watch’s concerns that “funds given to Ethiopia are not used to oppress its people”….Although
progress on Gibe III has been considerably delayed by funding
constraints, China signed a memorandum of understanding last year to
finance construction on another mega dam on the Omo, Gibe IV, and plans
further dams on the Blue Nile as well.

Ethiopia’s plans for
constructing dams on the Nile have traditionally met with robust
opposition from Egypt, which has tried to maintain control of more than
half of the Nile’s flow through the colonial era Nile Waters Agreement, as well as through threats of armed force.…Perhaps
reflecting Cairo’s recent decline as regional strongman, Burundi last
week joined five other upstream nations in the new Nile Basin Initiative,
creating the two-thirds majority of riverine states required to put the
new treaty into force, and thereby effectively wresting control of the
Nile waters from Egypt and Sudan. It threatens Egypt’s right to 55.5bn
cubic metres annually, conferred by the previous agreement.

regards

We can go back to having as much sex as we want  (unfortunately STDs are again on the rise). However the promise of GM cure is now endless and that must be a good thing (we like living like Mr Micawber). The best goodies (like age reversal therapy) will be reserved for the 1%, the “annual income twenty
pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six” folks will perhaps need to wait for Indian origin generic therapy to take shape (and if WTO approves).

Scientists have been excited about the prospect of genetically modifying
patients’ immune cells to make them resistant to disease since doctors
effectively cured an HIV patient in 2008. Timothy Brown, also known as
the Berlin patient, had a bone marrow transplant to treat his leukaemia.
Spotting their chance to treat both conditions, his doctors found a
donor who carried the rare mutation that made their immune cells
resistant to HIV. Immune cells are made in the bone marrow. Since the
operation, Brown has had no detectable level of HIV in his body and no
longer takes anti-HIV drugs.

Bone marrow transplants are risky
operations and cannot be given to everyone with HIV. But modifying
patients’ immune cells might be the next best thing. One shortcoming of
the latest therapy is that the patients still make normal immune cells,
which can and will be infected by the HIV virus. Levine said one
hope for the future was to genetically modify stem cells in the
patient’s bone marrow that grow into immune cells. Those patients might
then produce a steady flow of resistant immune cells, leaving HIV
nowhere to hide.

The latest treatment was not without its problems. Writing in the New England Journal of Medicine,
the authors report a total of 130 mild or moderate side effects, 32 of
which were linked to the modified cells rather than the infusion
procedure. The most common reactions were fever, chills, headaches,
muscle and joint pain. One patient was taken to the hospital’s emergency
department after falling ill. The scientists note too that the
patients’ body odour took on the smell of garlic, a consequence of them
breaking down dimethyl sulfoxide, used to preserve the genetically
modified cells.

regards

The dams across the Irrawaddy were to be built and the power exported to Big Brother. However the Burmese govt suddenly had a change in heart, in part driven by resistance to the project from Kachins who populate the headwaters and have been displaced. BB has now launched a “win hearts and minds” operation but the natives remain unconvinced. There is also fear that if/when general Thein Sein steps down the projects will be restarted and the lands that they hold sacred will be no more.

It was a project conceived, financed and – so far partially – built by the
state-owned Chinese Power Investment Corporation (CPI), to take
electricity across the border and help industrialise the Chinese
province of Yunnan. At 152 metres high and with a potential capacity of
6,000 MW of electricity, the Myitsone was to be the largest of seven
dams at the headwaters of the Irrawaddy River. If completed, it will be
the 15th largest dam in the world. But soon after work started in 2009,
the project ran into trouble.

Environmentalists objected because
the Irrawaddy is Burma’s most important water resource, supporting a
thriving fishing industry, irrigating Burma’s rice bowl, and supplying
silt to the Irrawaddy delta….Ordinary Burmese objected because the Irrawaddy is the country’s spiritual
lifeblood, the subject of stories, songs and poems. With around 90% of
the electricity from the dam going to China, the Burmese saw little benefit for themselves….Finally,
the people of Kachin state objected because the 296-square-mile
reservoir would not only submerge 63 villages, it would also drown a
sacred site at the confluence of the N’Mai and Mali rivers. As
work got underway, the Kachin Independence Army broke a 17-year-old
ceasefire to attack the dam site. In 2010, 10 bombs exploded around the
dam site, killing a Chinese worker.

Still the Burmese government pushed ahead with the project, keen to placate Burma’s staunchest ally and biggest trading partner. Then in 2011 Burma’s new president, Thein Sein, abruptly announced a halt to construction,
and promised that the dam would not be built during his term in office.
It was a stunning turnaround that infuriated the Chinese.

regards

Pakistan is a major non-NATO ally of the USA and managing that relationship will
be in the best interests of the USA in order to ensure a smooth passage out of
Afghanistan (not to mention the real motivation/fear: Taliban will capture the
nuclear complex). Accordingly today we have the announcement that $280 million in military aid and $446 million in civilian aid (reduced from $703 million in 2013) will be directed to Islamabad for 2014 (this information is as per Times of India, Dawn confirms $280M mil budget but states $720M for civilian aid). The announcement from the US State Department (excerpt below) is curiously worded to say the least (suggesting perhaps that the lower amount of civilian aid will help improve US-India relations).

“The
OCO (Overseas Contingency Operations) resources will support critical US
activities such as sustaining close cooperation with Pakistan, ensuring
the safety of Pakistani nuclear installations, working with Pakistan to
facilitate the peace process in Afghanistan, and promoting improved
relations with India,” the State Department said as it proposed USD 446
million in civilian aid to Pakistan.

Sri Lanka and Nepal are probably too deep in China’s embrace.
The dark horse is Bangladesh and how long the Hasina govt is expected to
survive (perhaps with Indian backing), the
opposition BNP won 43-34 in the local elections held in February.

The Election Commission has just announced the schedule for the Lok Sabha polls- April 7 to May 12 in nine phases over 34 days. India (right now) is very much in a cold embrace with the USA, perhaps because (a) it has
proven difficult to mobilize India against China and (b) due to lack of faith in the present regime. The question of interest is how regime change will help improve market access for US companies (unlikely, all
parties against FDI in retail for example). Even if NaMo wins, there may be a
tilt towards China and (depending on how the west reacts to his rise) a frozen relationship
with the USA.

Japan, China and Korea (and perhaps France and old-timer Russia) will
IMO outpace USA both in the commercial and government sectors. The
real bottle-neck is infrastructure development, right now the Japanese are involved
in building the transport corridors.  The
Chinese have expressed interest as well (30% of total!!! what do they want
in return???).  Regardless of all the
sweet
talking editorials (see excerpt below) the USA is not proposing to sign up
for any such initiative. There lies a hope that the hammer blow on IT exports will be softened (unlikely). There are in addition a number of other trade fights looming on patents (see below) and solar PV installations. Finally, Hillary
is rumored to having a soft spot for India so the next administration may be
more receptive to Indian concerns (but still no special relationship).

Our
successes are significant: a
nearly fivefold expansion of US-India trade between 2000-12 to reach almost
$100 billion, a thriving defence relationship that is founded on a common
strategic vision and a commitment to expand our partnership across most fields
of human endeavour — from education to innovation, intelligence sharing to
counterterrorism, space collaboration to energy cooperation — including in
areas that once seemed impossible given where our relations were just a few
short years ago……It is becoming widely accepted that our
converging interests will shape Indo-Pacific strategic and economic geography,
and with it the future of the 21st century and half the world’s population that
call this region home.

all this sweet music composed by Neha Biswal above to be contrasted with the grim reality below

US
drug companies complain that India has rejected patents for some
blockbuster drugs (like Novartis’ Gleevec), while issuing a compulsory
licence (which ignores patent rights) for Bayer’s anti-cancer drug. They
say India is flouting established norms on intellectual property rights
(IPR), cheating patent owners of billions, and conferring a bonanza on
Indian producers of cheap substitutes (generic drugs). US companies want
the US International Trade Commission to investigate India’s treatment
of IPR, and recommend sanctions (under Section 301 of US trade laws) if
required…..Few countries stand up to the threat of US sanctions :
the costs typically exceed the benefits. But India has refused to
co-operate even in a USITC visit to New Delhi, saying its bureaucrats
are too busy with other things. India has told the US that WTO rules
provide for all members to settle patent disputes through that body, not
through unilateral action. India is confident that its IPR rules are
WTO compliant. For that very reason, the US has avoided WTO, and is
attempting bilateral pressure instead.  

Silver Lining: Indian
companies claim to have invested 11 billion dollars in the USA and created 100k
jobs. If true this is quite promising. Indian (private sector) lobbying is also ramping up (but still small) and may
be in the long run more effective in managing the relationship than any govt
initiated lobbying.

One trend that is expected to continue
is the induction of more and more Indian Origin Persons (IOP) to the royal
court. All appointments are (a bit) political in nature, the above may then reflect
favorably on the persuasion powers (aka fund-raising skills) of the
Indian-American lobby. This is certainly a good thing (in and of itself) but the I-A lobby may find itself to be a divided house re: NaMo (reflecting divisions within expat Indians).

Top
IOPs in Obama administration (total now exceeds 50):  Rajiv Shah (administrator
of USAID), Nisha Desai Biswal (assistant secretary of State for South Asian
Affairs), Azita Raji (member, President’s Commission on White House
Fellowship), Islam Siddiqui (chief agricultural negotiator, US trade
representative), Vinai Thummalapally (executive director, Select USA,
department of commerce), Vivek Murthy (surgeon general). Awaiting appointments:
Arun Kumar (assistant secretary of commerce and director general of the US and
Foreign Commercial Service) and Puneet Talwar (assistant secretary of state for
Political- Military Affairs). If
confirmations proceed as expected, two assistant secretary of state positions
at the state department would be held by Indian-Americans.

regards

another old world profession under threat of extinction….the next generation would (naturally) like a soft desk job…but (almost) all that we have available are the death-traps of Qatar

regards

As if we do not have enough problems with real polio here is possible evidence of a copycat virus. Permanent guests of Hotel California beware!!


The first known case appeared in
2012. Sofia Jarvis in Berkeley began to experience wheezing and
difficulty breathing. The 2-year-old spent days in the intensive care
unit at Children’s Hospital Oakland. Doctors thought she had asthma. On a follow-up visit, her mother Jessica Tomei, 37, realized something else was wrong.

“As
we were leaving the doctor’s office, I noticed that she went to grab
something with her left arm and she stopped, midway,” Tomei said. Eventually
Sofia was brought to Van Haren’s clinic with “a unique set of
symptoms.” She was treated with steroids and intravenous immunoglobulin
therapy, used to reduce the severity of infections by giving the body
antibodies to protect against bacteria and viruses. “None of it
helped,” said Van Haren, a neurology professor at the Stanford
University School of Medicine.

“We don’t have a final case count, but it’s
probably in the neighborhood of 25 cases, all in California,” said Van
Haren. The median age of those stricken is 12.

The children don’t have
polio, but their symptoms look much like the disease that terrified
generations of parents beginning in the 1890s. Patients lose the
ability to move their arms or legs, which “just dangle, like empty
balloons,” Van Haren said. Because the children can’t move their limbs,
the muscles atrophy and the limb shrivels.

“The
cause of most of these cases is not known. Some clinical and laboratory
features, such as the pattern of inflammation seen in the spinal cord
on MRI, are consistent with a viral process,” said Glaser. Van Haren suspects the culprit is an enterovirus.
That is a family of viruses that includes polio but also the milder
hand, foot and mouth disease, common in infants and children. Unfortunately while there’s a vaccine for the polio virus, “we don’t have vaccines for the other enteroviruses,” Van Haren said.

regards

Kamila Shamsie in her own words. The most thought provoking are these words below:

If you had asked me my feelings about the union jack, I suspect I’d have
said the image with which I associate it most closely is Jessica Ennis smiling her beautiful smile with a flag around her shoulders at the Olympics
– a joyful thing to think about for even those of us who roll our eyes
at all nationalism. But I had spent the last couple of years writing a
novel set during the Raj, and as the camera clicked, I found myself
remembering pictures of the union jack strung along the streets of
Peshawar in the days of empire. It brought about a strange unease, which
wasn’t in any way about my feelings toward Britain, but rather my
feelings towards Pakistan, a nation of which I would continue to be a
citizen. 

I had thought dual citizenship would feel like a gain, not a
loss. Instead, as I took my seat in the chamber I found myself
reflecting on what it means to be from a country in which acquiring a
second passport is regarded across the board as reason for celebration.
Weeks later, I was trying to explain this to British-Libyan writer,
Hisham Matar, who knew exactly what I meant. “In that moment you are
betrayed and betrayer both,” he said. “You’re betraying your country by
seeking another passport, and you’re betrayed by your country which
makes you want to seek another passport”

IMO it is a good thing that India does not permit dual citizenship. Naturally a “best of both worlds,” “cost-free” dual citizenship seems like a perfect choice. But this I firmly believe, citizenship is not an entitlement, nor should it be easy to attain (or buy). Also that your (original) country needs you more than your (adopted) country. Today, in her own words, Pakistan has lost more than Britain has gained.That is a pity.

regards