
23rd March 2003. Twenty three years ago today, a Pakistani Operative Zia Mustafa of the Laskhar-e-Toiba walks into the village of Nadimarg, Jammu and Kashmir. Wearing fake uniforms, Zia and his accomplices wake up the the village, and then proceed to murder 11 men, 11 women and a boy after lining them up. Walking away, the terrorists hear a baby crying, and order to silence him. The baby becomes murder victim #24. Link
23 March 2026, I read a comment on a BP thread discussing the West Asia war and Iran’s defiance, and the question that is the the topic of this post is asked.
I feel obligated to answer it. The statistics of so-called ‘non-state actor’ victims inflicted by Pakistani groups on Indian soil, since the 1990s, into the 2000s and beyond are stark. For an Indian who has grown up to adulthood in these years, actually lived through multiple decades where hundreds if not thousands of Indians dying as a result of the Lashkars and Jaish of the world was just part and parcel of life – all given succor by the Pakistani military and state. The datasheet linked here shows the tragedy that has been slowly but surely being deterred – and this is only starting with the year 2000. According to SATP, more than 25000 deaths occurred in J&K between 1988 and 2000.
The change in the public response of the Indian government, starting with the surgical strikes in 2016, and then escalated with the Balakot Bombing raids, and the direct and sharp decrease in the number of terrorism incidents is unmistakable. Operation Sindoor, the 4 day skirmish that took place in May 2025 on the heels of unarmed tourists being murdered in cold blood – is the exclamation mark in a simple statement that demonstrates Indian resilience and response when challenged with terrorism. No more will such attacks go unanswered. And the ultimate sponsors of such evil – the Pakistan Military itself – will have to bear direct consequences delivered. Via Brahmos-Mail.
Nobody needs a degree in statistics, to spot the co-relation in the timeline – India starts executing public retaliation in the aftermath of terror attacks, the frequency of such attacks drops sharply.
As far as the spreadsheets accounting and the nuts and bolts of what targets were hit during Op Sindoor that would count as “actual accomplishments” – there is ample evidence available for any objective observer to get themselves informed. From satellite imagery of multiple PAF bases and runways ‘double-tapped’ into shutting down for months, to ‘hardened’ aircraft shelters being demolished and rebuilt months after the fact.
But what Op Sindoor accomplished goes beyond merely a largely one-sided ledger of inflicting losses to military bases and flagship bases of terrorist organizations – Op Sindoor was a demonstration of commitment by the Indian state – a resolve that no longer will the nuclear umbrella allow the Pakistani Military to continue waging its ‘jihad of a thousand cuts’ without the consequences of a military conflict. One that will inflict costs not just on the bankrupt Pakistani state, with FATF gray lists hurting its citizens. Send terrorists to murder Indians, and bombs will drop on Pakistani Military bases in response. Op Sindoor is a promise of resolve. The Indian government will respond militarily if you threaten the security of its citizens.
Post-script: Apart from making an unambiguous demonstration of Indian deterrence when facing up against terrorism emanating from Pakistan, arguably the greatest indicator of the success of Op Sindoor, is the Pakistani Military’s attempt at copy-pasting their own version on Pakistan’s Eastern Border. Unfortunately, the results for the second sibling that was birthed from ‘Cracking India’ in 1947, have been a lot more….mixed.

Stone pelting/separatism is dead. Geelani is dead. Yasin Malik will die in jail. All the others have joined political parties.
Movie theaters are open after years.
Lal Chowk has the tricolour openly flying.
yes Kashmir should be integrated into India, no question about it. Peace within the Indian Subcontinent
That’s why Pakistan getting into middle eastern conflicts is good for India.
War on Terror was best thing to happen to India.
While Pak was busy with it, India got a lot of stuff done.
Let Pakistan play “kingmaker” in the Middle East and leave India alone.
Anyways, what is Kashmir compared to Al Aqsa?
Go capture it, my brave ghazis.
Is Pakistan getting into any conflict; it’s being seen as a key and trustworthy diplomat like Turkey & Egypt.
The difference between Afghanistan and Pakistan is a matter of perception; it feels pre-Sindoor, Pakistan gave very strong failed state vibes.
It feels post Sindoor, Asim Munir & the Army have managed to really integrate in Pakistan; that the Army never really to do successfully before.
One can love India that is Bharat without hating Pakistan (and vice versa). We should all aim to love one another.
Being useful in a security sense (which Pak already was) does not lead to economic growth.
North Korea is also held in high regard by China/Russia.
For all the Trump bonhomie, Trump himself banned immigration from Pakistan.
Pak Fauj getting richer doesn’t mean Pak as a country does.
We agree with this
The USS Gerald Ford, stationed in an active war theatre, reportedly had a “laundry fire.” On a nuclear carrier. Draw your own conclusions.
My broader point: the geopolitical map has fundamentally shifted. We are watching the inflection point of Pax Americana in real time.
Frank Gardner of the BBC put it plainly: Iran didn’t buckle. Trump threatened to bomb Iran’s power plants; Iran countered by threatening to destroy Gulf desalination infrastructure; at which point Trump backed down and reframed it as a ceasefire. By any honest accounting, that’s one-nil to Iran.
This is the Survival/Luxury Nations dynamic playing out in real time. Survival Nations (China, Russia, Pakistan, Iran, North Korea) absorb body bags. Their militaries have already made peace with the cost of losing, because losing is the baseline they’ve always operated from. Luxury Nations (Japan, India, Israel, the GCC, the West) cannot.
Every body bag is a political crisis at home. Superior technology only decides wars when you’re willing to cross into mass civilian killing, and the moment a Luxury Nation does that, it ceases to be one. That’s the trap. Iran just demonstrated this against the most powerful military in history. India, notably, didn’t even cross Pakistani airspace during Op Sindoor.
Every encounter teaches Pakistan something. Just as Iran is learning its lessons, so is Rawalpindi.
RNJ’s above is exactly right on its own terms. But the Survival/Luxury lens adds the structural explanation: Sindoor was a demonstration of resolve, not a knockout blow; because knockout blows against Survival Nations require costs that Luxury Nations are constitutionally unwilling to pay.
>Sindoor was a demonstration of resolve, not a knockout blow; because knockout blows against Survival Nations require costs that Luxury Nations are constitutionally unwilling to pay.
Sindoor’s mission statement was never attempting a ‘knockout blow’ – A precision ‘double tap on a runway intersection, could just as easily be a dozen bombs there. But they weren’t. By design.
It is in Indian interests to have Pakistan continue to …survive. But conditional to avoiding Indian red lines.
This is not a parallel to the West Asia Conflict. That has its own set of variables and functions. Entirely different.
https://x.com/GhaziButtPmln/status/2036130134382510509?s=20
It is impressive how Iran is marshaling its diplomacy. Especially under fire.
>India, notably, didn’t even cross Pakistani airspace during Op Sindoor.
The fact that the IAF …had its way, and freely bombed PAF targets of its choosing across the length and breath of Pakistan, demonstrates that such ‘crossings’ weren’t required. Folks much more qualified than either of us have ‘graded’ the Op Sindoor Conflict. The verdict is quite unambiguous.
Anyway, I find that particular …oneupmanship game quite irrelevant and tiresome. We should focus more on West Asia, which has far greater stakes and urgency at the moment.
as you know this is not “oneupmanship”; this is just trying to understand how battles are fought and won.
as you know the Crescentiat have often accused this blog of a Saffron bias. it just feels that Op Sindoor was not the complete Victory it needs to be say like 1971, which was catastrophic and humiliating for Pakistan..
the enemy always learns and adapts if it lives on
India just did not have those objectives as it did in 1971?
India met all its objectives in Sindoor.
Why would anyone want to compare Op Sindoor with 1971? The latter was an outright invasion and seizure of territory. The former was an operation explicitly designed to be punitive. What more ‘success’ should India have aimed for?
They bombed Bahawalpur and Muridke, targeted PAF bases at will, defused PakMil attempts at retaliation, and induced a ceasefire request from them.
If this isn’t ‘complete victory’ then I’ll take this 101 times out of 100.
The biggest survival nation of all time, the USSR was given a knockout blow without a single direct punch.
Unlike USA-Iran, India is not fighting an offensive war vs Pakistan. It’s only wishes are stoppage of proxy attacks.
Any mischief will be responded to via both direct attacks as well as way greater proxy attacks via BLA/TTP.
yes the collapse of the USSR doesn’t apply here; Iran is more analogous..
India does not seek change in status quo wrt Pakistan though.
More analogous would be Iran starting something with USA.
This is astonishing
Thanks for Operation Sindoor, as a Pakistani – I cannot thank enough. 😂
😂
I am glad you enjoyed it.
Why is that?
I look upon the continued enslavement of Pakistanis by the kleptocracy with bemusement.
This feels very loaded. Considering Kabir is powered down; no one to appeal for offense 🙂
When are you watching Dhurandhar 2?