This war feels fairly choreographed; regime change unlikely but now everyone needs to save face.
Link 1: The Iranian regime account is using the Sun & the Lion Flag.
Tag: regime
Iran and Pakistan Are Not the Same Kind of State
Iran cannot be analysed using the same political categories as Pakistan or most modern states. The difference is not whether a regime is monarchical, clerical, or military. It is the age of the civilisation being governed. Pakistan is a young state. Its borders, institutions, and political language were assembled in the twentieth century. In such states, power fills a vacuum directly.
Power in Young States, Authority in Old Ones
A military dictatorship governs by force, hierarchy, and command. Its legitimacy is procedural and immediate: order, security, survival. This form works where political memory is thin and inherited meaning is limited. Pakistan’s army did not overthrow an old order. It stepped into an empty one. Iran is structured differently. It is a civilisational state that has existed in recognisable form for roughly three thousand years. Power there has never been exercised through force alone. Authority has always been tied to ideas that predate any single regime.
Monarchy as Civilisation, Not Administration Continue reading Iran and Pakistan Are Not the Same Kind of State
Venezuela as Pakistan: A Template, Not an Accident
Venezuela is not being punished. It is being re-made. Not into a liberal democracy. Not into a stable autocracy. Into something more useful. Into a Pakistan. By this, I do not mean a people or a culture. I mean a regime form (as what Bush did to Maduro’s earlier Iraqi doppelgänger): a state kept permanently unstable, permanently securitised, and permanently dependent; yet intact enough to sign contracts, police its population, and function as leverage against rivals. This is the form Empire prefers when it can no longer rule directly.
1) Why Venezuela Matters
Venezuela is not peripheral. It is inconveniently rich.
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The largest proven oil reserves in the world (over 300 billion barrels)
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Significant natural gas
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Large gold reserves
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Access to rare earths
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Control of the Caribbean–Atlantic corridor, close to major shipping lanes and the US mainland
A sovereign Venezuela is not a local problem. It is a potential pole. This is why it cannot be allowed to work. Donald Trump said the quiet part out loud: Venezuela has “all that oil.” It should be “ours.” The language was crude. The intent was orthodox. What matters is not the tone, but the continuity of aim.
2) Sanctions as a Weapon System Continue reading Venezuela as Pakistan: A Template, Not an Accident